The International 10 - Group B Day Two Matches

The International 10 - Group B Day Two Matches

Day two of The International 10 continues! For the four days of group stages, I'll continue to aggregate match predictions and bet suggestions instead of flooding Twitter with a dozen posts.

Refer to the summary table at the top, or scroll down to see match specifics if you want a more comprehensive breakdown.


Predictions and bet suggestions

Date Team Opponent Odds Win% Win% Implied (norm) Action
2021-10-08 02:00AM Quincy Crew beastcoast 2.13 54.32% 42.41% Bet 13.90% on QC vs BC
2021-10-08 02:00AM Team Secret PSG.LGD 3.76 19.87% 23.98% No Bet
2021-10-08 02:00AM Vici Gaming Elephant 3.62 32.45% 24.89% No Bet
2021-10-08 02:00AM SG e-sports Fnatic 4.68 23.59% 19.28% No Bet
2021-10-08 06:00AM Quincy Crew Vici Gaming 3.31 27.87% 27.26% No Bet
2021-10-08 06:00AM Fnatic PSG.LGD 8.34 10.62% 10.78% No Bet
2021-10-08 06:00AM Team Spirit Elephant 3.83 30.25% 23.55% No Bet
2021-10-08 06:00AM DRAW (Team Secret v SG e-sports) 3.2 39.63% 28.14% Bet 12.19% on DRAW vs (Secret v SG)
2021-10-08 10:00AM Quincy Crew Fnatic 2.25 46.70% 40.15% No Bet
2021-10-08 10:00AM Elephant Team Secret 3.76 20.74% 23.98% No Bet
2021-10-08 10:00AM Team Spirit Vici Gaming 3.87 22.79% 23.32% No Bet
2021-10-08 10:00AM SG e-sports beastcoast 4.22 25.31% 21.41% No Bet


Individual matches

PSG.LGD v Team Secret

metricPSG.LGDdrawTeam.Secret
Market Odds2.3 (+130)2.45 (+145)3.76 (+276)
Implied Win Probability43.48%40.82%26.60%
Implied Win (Normalized)39.21%36.81%23.98%
Calculated Win Probability36.33%43.80%19.87%
Expected Value-0.2794-0.0494-0.4409
Bet SizeBet @ odds > +219Bet @ odds > +158Bet @ odds > +573

Elephant v Vici Gaming

metricElephantdrawVici.Gaming
Market Odds2.73 (+173)2.14 (+114)3.62 (+262)
Implied Win Probability36.63%46.73%27.62%
Implied Win (Normalized)33.00%42.10%24.89%
Calculated Win Probability22.95%44.60%32.45%
Expected Value-0.51-0.1526-0.0063
Bet SizeBet @ odds > +457Bet @ odds > +153Bet @ odds > +264

Quincy Crew v beastcoast

metric Quincy Crew draw beastcoast
Market Odds 2.13 (+113) 2.4 (+140) 4.53 (+353)
Implied Win Probability 46.95% 41.67% 22.08%
Implied Win (Normalized) 42.41% 37.64% 19.94%
Calculated Win Probability 54.32% 36.12% 9.56%
Expected Value 0.0506 -0.2532 -0.7935
Bet Size Bet 13.90% Bet @ odds > +221 Bet @ odds > +2094

Fnatic v SG e-sports

metric Fnatic draw SG e-sports
Market Odds 2.55 (+155) 1.99 (-101) 4.68 (+368)
Implied Win Probability 39.22% 50.25% 21.37%
Implied Win (Normalized) 35.38% 45.34% 19.28%
Calculated Win Probability 31.70% 44.71% 23.59%
Expected Value -0.3192 -0.2098 -0.1298
Bet Size Bet @ odds > +275 Bet @ odds > +152 Bet @ odds > +438

Elephant v Team Spirit

metric Elephant draw Team Spirit
Market Odds 2.6 (+160) 2.16 (+116) 3.83 (+283)
Implied Win Probability 38.46% 46.30% 26.11%
Implied Win (Normalized) 34.69% 41.76% 23.55%
Calculated Win Probability 24.87% 44.87% 30.25%
Expected Value -0.4833 -0.1388 -0.0328
Bet Size Bet @ odds > +403 Bet @ odds > +151 Bet @ odds > +296

PSG.LGD v Fnatic

metric PSG.LGD draw Fnatic
Market Odds 1.52 (-192) 2.99 (+199) 8.34 (+734)
Implied Win Probability 65.79% 33.44% 11.99%
Implied Win (Normalized) 59.15% 30.07% 10.78%
Calculated Win Probability 51.96% 37.42% 10.62%
Expected Value -0.2862 -0.0305 -0.5317
Bet Size Bet @ odds > +113 Bet @ odds > +208 Bet @ odds > +1681

Vici Gaming v Quincy Crew

metric Vici Gaming draw Quincy Crew
Market Odds 2.58 (+158) 2.39 (+139) 3.31 (+231)
Implied Win Probability 38.76% 41.84% 30.21%
Implied Win (Normalized) 34.98% 37.76% 27.26%
Calculated Win Probability 27.13% 45.00% 27.87%
Expected Value -0.429 -0.0441 -0.2429
Bet Size Bet @ odds > +352 Bet @ odds > +150 Bet @ odds > +337

Team Secret v SG e-sports

metric Team Secret draw SG e-sports
Market Odds 1.54 (-185) 3.2 (+220) 6.73 (+573)
Implied Win Probability 64.94% 31.25% 14.86%
Implied Win (Normalized) 58.48% 28.14% 13.38%
Calculated Win Probability 47.59% 39.63% 12.78%
Expected Value -0.3442 0.1082 -0.4762
Bet Size Bet @ odds > +135 Bet 12.19% Bet @ odds > +1185

Team Secret v Elephant

metric Team Secret draw Elephant
Market Odds 2.3 (+130) 2.45 (+145) 3.76 (+276)
Implied Win Probability 43.48% 40.82% 26.60%
Implied Win (Normalized) 39.21% 36.81% 23.98%
Calculated Win Probability 35.18% 44.08% 20.74%
Expected Value -0.3058 -0.0427 -0.4082
Bet Size Bet @ odds > +231 Bet @ odds > +156 Bet @ odds > +535

Vici Gaming v Team Spirit

metric Vici Gaming draw Team Spirit
Market Odds 2.41 (+141) 2.3 (+130) 3.87 (+287)
Implied Win Probability 41.49% 43.48% 25.84%
Implied Win (Normalized) 37.45% 39.24% 23.32%
Calculated Win Probability 32.64% 44.57% 22.79%
Expected Value -0.3338 -0.0899 -0.3116
Bet Size Bet @ odds > +262 Bet @ odds > +153 Bet @ odds > +462

beastcoast v SG e-sports

metric beastcoast draw SG e-sports
Market Odds 2.25 (+125) 2.35 (+135) 4.22 (+322)
Implied Win Probability 44.44% 42.55% 23.70%
Implied Win (Normalized) 40.15% 38.44% 21.41%
Calculated Win Probability 29.78% 44.91% 25.31%
Expected Value -0.4425 -0.0621 -0.1429
Bet Size Bet @ odds > +304 Bet @ odds > +151 Bet @ odds > +392

Quincy Crew v Fnatic

metric Quincy Crew draw Fnatic
Market Odds 2.25 (+125) 2.35 (+135) 4.22 (+322)
Implied Win Probability 44.44% 42.55% 23.70%
Implied Win (Normalized) 40.15% 38.44% 21.41%
Calculated Win Probability 46.70% 40.04% 13.26%
Expected Value -0.0618 -0.1765 -0.6515
Bet Size Bet @ odds > +140 Bet @ odds > +185 Bet @ odds > +1111


You can also find all of these suggestions on our suggested bets page, which will stay up-to-date as the tournament progresses!

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